NFL Wild Card Saturday Most sensible Making a bet Choices, Predictions January 11, 2025

Masses of markets may qualify as one among our highest bets for as of late. In case you are into school basketball, males’s or girls’s, you are going to no longer have any hassle discovering a recreation. The similar can also be mentioned for NHL and NBA fanatics. There’s even a UFC Combat Night time in Vegas.

However we can focal point at the NFL postseason because the wild card spherical will get underway. The Los Angeles Chargers will host the Houston Texans, and the Pittsburgh Steelers will combat the Baltimore Ravens.

Chargers vs. Texans

UNDER 42.5 Issues at -110 (by means of Caesars)

The Chargers have the No. 1 scoring protection within the NFL, maintaining groups to 17.7 issues in keeping with recreation this season. Houston has struggled on offense for far of the yr and can most probably combat in opposition to the most productive protection they have got confronted all season. It might be a marvel in the event that they scored 20 issues.

As for the Chargers offense, they’re coming off 3 video games with 34+ issues, however within the 3 prior to these, they scored 17 issues in keeping with recreation. Within the 3 video games with 34+ issues, the passing recreation led the best way, however this is going to be onerous to try this week in opposition to arguably the most productive go rush within the NFL.

The Chargers will most probably lean into their run recreation, understanding that it is going to be onerous to get the passing recreation on the right track. That may, after all, stay them from working up the ranking and the entire UNDER 42.5 issues.

Kaimi Fairbairn, OVER 7.5 Issues at +105

Houston has one of the most worst pink zone offenses within the NFL this season, scoring touchdowns on 49.1% of pink zone possessions. It’s unsure that quantity is any higher in opposition to the No. 1 pink zone protection of the Chargers.

Whilst he scored underneath seven issues within the remaining 3 video games, he scored 8+ in 9 of the former ten. The Chargers protection has held kickers to six.65 issues in keeping with recreation however allowed 8+ in 4 in their remaining 5. This recreation will make it 5 in their remaining six.

Steelers vs. Ravens

Derrick Henry, OVER 20.5 Speeding Makes an attempt at -114 (by means of FanDuel)

23+ Speeding Makes an attempt at +135 (by means of Caesars)

OVER 98.5 Speeding Yards at -115 (by means of DraftKings)

110+/130+ Speeding Yards at +140/+290 (by means of bet365)

The Ravens’ good fortune revolves round something—the run recreation. Prior to now, that supposed Lamar Jackson, however this season, it way getting Derrick Henry on the right track. When he has had 100+ dashing yards (9 instances this season, together with the remaining 3), Baltimore is 9-0.

The passing recreation opens up as soon as groups start to alter in hopes of forestalling/slowing down the run recreation, making it crucial that the run recreation will get established.

In his 9 100+ backyard video games, Henry carried the ball 23+ instances in all however one. In opposition to the Steelers, he had 13 carries (65 yards) in a single and 24 (162 yards) within the different. It might be a surprise if Henry didn’t cross OVER his 20.5 overall.

While you believe that he ran for 132+ yards within the six video games the place he had 24+ carries, the function should be 24-30 carries.

As for his yardage overall, 98.5 is a large quantity, however the Ravens know the way vital setting up the run shall be on this recreation. They are able to’t rely on Lamar Jackson to do it. The Steelers have proven they may be able to comprise him when he runs, and Baltimore desires to take power off Jackson, no longer upload to it.

If you desire to wager with warning in thoughts, take OVER 98.5 dashing yards for Henry. However if you happen to’re k with a little bit of possibility, cross with 110+ to get plus-money odds for this prop. If you happen to imagine he’ll get 23-25 carries, give some severe concept to 130+ yards at +290.